(Originally published in The Jerusalem Post on 19 May 1999)
The only way Prime Minister-elect Ehud Barak can effectively pursue
the peace process while maintaining the national unity we so
desperately need is by jumping now to truly final-status talks. This
is a move that friends of peace everywhere should encourage, rather
than undermine.
Let's get one thing clear: Contrary to Shimon Peres's gloating,
Monday's elections do not signify an endorsement of his leftist
ideology, but rather disgust with Netanyahu's performance. Only the
pathologically blind can really believe that when the likes of Benny
Begin vote for Barak they have joined the Peres camp.
The votes for Lapid's Shinui Party were against the haredim - not the
Hermon. The vote for Amir Peretz was for paychecks - not Palestine.
And the Central Party does not deny that the votes they received came
from ex-Likudniks who would never vote Left.
The country remains very much divided over Oslo. Some two weeks
before the election, the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace research
survey of adult Israeli Jews found only 48.7% favoring the Oslo
Accords. And while Peres and others will claim that Monday's vote is
a mandate to leave the Golan, only 27.7% support full withdrawal from
the Golan in exchange for a full peace treaty between Israel and
Syria.
Truly final final-status talks are talks that cover all the issues,
leaving nothing open - be it Jerusalem or refugees or any other
thorny issue - to shatter an agreement in the future.
These are negotiations for an agreement that is not just another
"stage" in a program of stages whose "final stage" in much of the
Palestinians' rhetoric is a Middle East without a Jewish state.
Unfortunately, Barak now faces pressure, from many of the same people
who supported his election, both here and in the White House, to
fritter away his public support on painful and dangerous interim
activities. Activities that, if the final-status talks fail, would
leave Israel in a far worse position on the ground than it is today.
Here is the puzzle: It is a tenet of faith of these same
interim-withdrawal supporters that the only obstacle to a truly
permanent agreement was Netanyahu's obstinacy. With Barak at the
table what can be gained by wasting time - and national unity - on
interim activity? After all, whatever interim steps not implemented
to date can readily be incorporated into the final deal.
Barak's reaction to this pressure will ultimately determine if he is
leading us to the true, secure peace the nation yearns for or,
instead, down the amorphous path of concessions followed by both
previous administrations.
While in the case of the PLO, Barak is being pressed to "withdraw
first, negotiate later," on the Syrian front he must deal with those
who seek not peace for generations, but a deal for the hour.
They will seek security based on technological "solutions" doomed to
obsolescence; reliance on the goodwill of neighboring governments
with unpredictable futures and would pin Israel's very survival on
the guarantees of foreign governments whose future desire or ability
to deliver on those guarantees can't necessarily be counted on.
No one questions Barak's intellect. The question is whether, in
trying to "square the circle" he will succumb to the temptation to
sacrifice intellectual honesty for short-term achievements - the
photo opportunities that the Jewish state has been served up during
its last two governments. For all of our sakes, I hope not.
If Barak succeeds in cutting a truly comprehensive peace deal with
Yasser Arafat or Hafez Assad, then his success will be a blessing for
all of us, regardless of our political stripe.
On the other hand, if after making a good-faith effort, Barak finds
that Arafat's demands in the final-status talks are not acceptable or
that truly workable arrangements cannot be reached with Assad, he can
rest assured that the overwhelming majority of the Israeli public
will accept Barak's decision to reject them.
This is an advantage that Barak enjoys over Netanyahu and any
alternative from the national camp.
Besides endorsing the jump to the final-status talks, the Clinton
administration can promote peace via a series of confidence-building
measures to help Barak face the difficult challenges ahead.
These include: agreeing to Israel's use of its own ELTA radar in the
pending jet deal; finalizing the remaining funding to bring the
Nautilus anti-Katyusha laser defense system on-line promptly (and
providing the laser control codes so that its range can be extended
beyond Katyushas); and putting the unfortunate Pollard episode behind
us.
Ultimately, the choice of path is Barak's alone. But his choices,
possibly more than any made by a prime minister since the days of
Ben-Gurion, will determine Israel's destiny.